I chose another article on fever in young infants (Naomi had reviewed a retrospective study a few weeks ago).
This is a systematic
review published in 2010 that looked at studies on low risk criteria for serious
bacterial illnesses (SBI) in <90 day olds. They categorized the
studies into prospective (with antibiotics treatment for all infant) vs
prospective (antibiotics withheld) vs retrospective and compared the rate of SBI
in those low-risk patients in each category.
Table 3 shows the
prospective studies where antibiotics were held, which found 6 cases of SBI in
870 cases total categorized as low risk. Rate of 0.67%
Table 4 shows
prospective studies where empiric antibiotics was given for all patients. Here
there were 57 cases of SBI missed /2012 low risk patients with a rate of
2.71%
Table 5 shows
retrospective studies which found 32 missed cases of SBI /1102 low
risk patients with a rate of 2.7%
The authors
hypothesize that the low risk criteria will work if careful application of these
low risk criterias was applied with observation alone. In the
“missed” 6 cases noted in table 3, the majority had UTI (4patients) and 2
patients had bacteremia. All patients were treated with
antibiotics when cultures were found to be positive.
Overall, this is a
comprehensive review of the literature that looked at the effectiveness of low
risk criteria and they are hypothesizing that when applied prospectively “…
clinicians should be confident in withholding empiric antibiotic
treatment.”
I didn't look at all
the missed SBI cases in table 4 and 5 to see what percentage were UTI vs
bacteremia vs meningitis. Would knowing that there were no meningitis cases
missed make you comfortable not getting LPs and observe outpatient or
inpatient in 1-2month olds?
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